WAR Update

With a couple of new additions (Cesar Izturis and 6'9" lefty pitcher Mark Hendrickson) it's time for updated 2009 WAR projections.

Offense:

Player	PA	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	BA	OBP	SLG	wOBA
Matt Weiters	400	99	21	1	12	36	.273	.339	.436	.340
Oscar Salazar	450	111	21	1	15	44	.274	.346	.443	.349
Brian Roberts	625	158	40	5	9	69	.285	.365	.425	.358
Melvin Mora	550	137	24	1	17	46	.273	.335	.426	.341
Cesar Izturis	550	135	20	2	3	37	.264	.314	.329	.293
Luke Scott	575	136	35	3	24	59	.265	.341	.485	.360
Adam Jones	575	145	31	2	15	41	.273	.325	.423	.331
Nick Markakis	625	161	41	1	20	88	.301	.401	.494	.395
Aubrey Huff	600	153	35	2	23	52	.280	.344	.478	.359
Luis Montanez	200	53	12	1	5	14	.286	.337	.443	.342
Ryan Freel	350	87	16	1	3	30	.273	.336	.358	.323
Bench	500	118	15	1	8	27	.250	.292	.337	.292
Total (Starters)	4,950	1,235	268	18	138	472	.277	.347	.438	.349
Total (Team)	6,000	1,493	311	21	154	543	.275	.341	.425	.342

Position Players:

Player	Pos.	2008 wOBA	2008 wOBA+	2009 "Proj." wOBA	2009 "Proj." PA	Pos. Adj.	Def.	Bat (700 PA)	WAR	$WAR	Proj. Salary	Diff
Matt Weiters	C	.458 (AA)	134	.340	400	1.25	0.00	0.1	2.2	$10.9	$0.4	$10.5
Oscar Salazar	1B	.394	116	.349	450	-1.25	0.00	0.6	1.2	$6.1	$0.4	$5.7
Brian Roberts	2B	.374	112	.358	625	0.25	0.00	1.1	3.4	$17.0	$8.0	$9.0
Melvin Mora	3B	.364	108	.341	550	0.25	-0.75	0.1	1.7	$8.4	$9.0	-$0.6
Cesar Izturis	SS	.260	79	.293	550	0.75	0.50	-2.7	0.9	$4.5	$2.5	$2.0
Luke Scott	LF	.356	106	.360	575	-0.75	0.25	1.2	2.6	$13.2	$1.0	$12.2
Adam Jones	CF	.322	96	.331	575	0.25	0.75	-0.5	2.5	$12.5	$0.4	$12.1
Nick Markakis	RF	.398	119	.395	625	-0.75	0.50	3.2	4.9	$24.2	$7.0	$17.2
Aubrey Huff	DH	.389	116	.359	600	-1.75	0.00	1.2	1.6	$8.3	$8.0	$0.3
Luis Montanez	OF	.352	104	.342	200	-0.75	0.00	0.2	0.5	$3.1	$0.4	$2.7
Ryan Freel	Util	.323	99	.323	350	0.00	0.00	-0.9	0.8	$4.2	$4.0	$0.2
Bench				.292	500	0.00	0.25	-2.7	0.0	$0.5	$0.4	$0.1
Total									22.3	$112.9	$41.5	$71.4

Pitchers:

Player	Pos.	2008 tRA	2008 tRA+	2008 tRA* regressed	2009 "Proj." tRA	2009 "Proj." IP	WAR	$WAR	Proj. Salary	Diff
Jeremy Guthrie	SP	4.84	101	4.80	4.75	180	2.7	$13.5	$2.0	$11.5
Garrett Olson	SP	5.26	92	5.26	5.25	160	1.5	$7.7	$0.4	$7.3
Radhames Liz	SP	6.86	59	6.00	6.00	120	0.1	$1.0	$0.4	$0.6
Chris Waters	SP	5.84	80	5.16	5.75	100	0.4	$2.3	$0.4	$1.9
Hayden Penn	SP	5.80 (AAA)	80 (AAA)	5.12 (AAA)	6.00	100	0.1	$0.9	$0.4	$0.5
Matt Albers	SP/RP (67-33)	3.08 / 4.59	137 / 97	4.84 / 4.67	4.75	120	1.4	$7.2	$0.4	$6.8
Mark Hendrickson	SP/RP (50-50)	5.53 / 4.22	84 / 105	5.15 / 4.58	5.00	100	0.7	$3.9	$4.0	-$0.1
Brian Burres	SP/RP (50-50)	6.20 / 5.94	73 / 74	5.95 / 4.65	5.75	100	-0.1	-$0.1	$0.4	-$0.5
George Sherrill	RP	4.07	109	4.35	4.00	60	0.9	$4.8	$2.0	$2.8
Jim Johnson	RP	3.48	122	4.14	4.00	70	1.0	$5.3	$0.4	$4.9
Chris Ray	RP	4.30 (2007)	108 (2007)	4.24 (2007)	4.50	50	0.4	$2.1	$0.5	$1.6
Dennis Sarfate	RP	4.23	105	4.53	4.50	60	0.5	$2.7	$0.4	$2.3
Alberto Castillo	RP	4.47	100	4.40	4.50	40	0.3	$1.9	$0.4	$1.5
Jamie Walker	RP	6.83	47	5.19	5.00	40	0.1	$0.8	$4.5	-$3.7
Kam Mickolio	RP	3.91	113	4.49	4.50	40	0.3	$1.9	$0.4	$1.5
Randor Bierd	RP	5.23	83	5.13	5.00	35	0.2	$1.2	$0.4	$0.8
Danys Baez	RP	7.04 (2007)	50 (2007)	5.68 (2007)	5.00	35	0.2	$1.2	$5.5	-$4.3
Jim Miller	RP	3.26	127	4.45	4.50	30	0.3	$1.7	$0.4	$1.3
Total					5.07	1440	10.9	$60.0	$23.3	$36.7

Total Team WAR (assuming 45 wins for a replacement level team): 78.3