Nick won a spot on the team three years ago with a blistering spring training, and went on to hit .291/.351/.448 with 16 HR, a 106 OPS+, and a .351 wOBA (101 wOBA+). When a guy that young is able to provide a league-average bat then you know there's a lot of upside there.
In year two, Markakis improved in every way - especially in the power department. The home runs went up to 23, with a .300/.362/.485 line, 121 OPS+, .374 wOBA (110 wOBA+).
Year three see even more improvement; this time with Nick finally turning one of his best tools - his great batting eye - into results in the stat-sheet. .306/.406/.491 with 20 HR (and 48 doubles), a 134 OPS+, .398 wOBA (119 wOBA+).
It's not often you see a player improve that consistently each year, but Nick is a pretty special player.
I've currently got Nick's projection for next year at
PA | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | BA | OBP | SLG | wOBA |
650 | 167 | 43 | 2 | 20 | 92 | .301 | .401 | .493 | .395 |
That's a pretty great line, and it's still a little worse than he did last year.
Most independent projection systems have an even worse (though still very good) line for Markakis but, given the feedback I've gotten thus far, I think I may actually be low on him.
Have at it...
1 comment:
BA 2B HR OBP SLG OPS OPS+
Markakis '09 .315 40 29 .415 .520 .935 141
I'll let you calculate the wOBA..;-)
My reasoning is explained further here...
http://dempseysarmy.blogspot.com/2009/01/crystal-ball-09-nick-markakis.html
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