PECOTA Has O's In Fourth

I've never done a spit-take before in real life - I didn't think things like that actually happened. Then I saw this from BaseballProspectus:

American League, ranked by projected 2009 record

East		W	L	RS	RA	AVG	OBP	SLG
15	Boston Red Sox	99	63	852	695	.270	.348	.434
13	New York Yankees	95	67	794	671	.263	.337	.415
6	Tampa Bay Rays	91	71	805	718	.254	.335	.416
9	Baltimore Orioles	77	85	827	885	.269	.336	.434
5	Toronto Blue Jays	75	87	704	761	.253	.319	.403

Fourth place. I don't even know what to say about that. Awesome? Unlikely? I do have the O's with about the same level of offense for 2009 (though with more OBP and less SLG), but with better pitching. I've been of the opinion that the 80 win projection from the team WAR is high due to natural home-team optimism, and so I've been bumping it down to 75-77 when people ask me about them. If the O's can find some pitching amongst the host of candidates they have auditioning, then a .500 season is definitely within reach. Crazy.