April Record

After the O's started 6-1, I predicted how they would finish the month of April. Here's what I said:

"I'll go with:

CWS: 3-3
TB: 2-3
TX: 1-1
NYY: 1-2
TOR: 1-1
SEA: 1-2

TOTAL W/L: 9/12

April Record: 15-13

Contain complain with a record over .500. I think this is near the low point of what they can do. 17-11 or even 18-10 are certainly possible."

So what happened?

CWS: 2-3 (The sixth game ended in a rain delayed tie, for now.)
TB: 2-3 (Yup.)
TX: 0-2 (Lost both in the double header.)
NYY: 2-1 (Nice job, O's.)
TOR: 1-1 (Yup, again.)
SEA: 2-1 (Ha ha, Seattle. Pnwd.)

TOTAL W/L: 9/11

April Record: 15-12

Now that's what I'm talking about.

The Orioles are on pace to win 90 games this year. If they play like a 62 win team from now one, they'll win 67. Play like a 66 win team and they'll win 70. A 70 win team will take the total to 73. I doubt they are still above .500 at the end of May, but they only need to play like a 72 win team to get there (they'd go 12-15 and be at 27-27).

If the season ended today, the play-offs would look like this:

BOS vs. OAK
LAA vs. CHW

ARI vs. STL
FLA vs. CHC

Yaye, small sample sizes!