Big Turn Around

Here's the win probability graph for the game from fangraphs. It shows each team's chance of winning at different points in the game.



The home run by Ichiro was a huge swing, but B-Rob got it right back. It wasn't looking good in the fourth, but the O's battled and whittled the lead down before having that huge top of the seventh - the double by Adam Jones especially gave the O's an edge. The hit by Betancourt in the ninth gave them life, but turning that double play against Ichiro really snuffed it out.