Blame Brian Sabean

The San Fransisco Giants have an absurdly horrible offense. Let's take a look, using the fantasy 411 composite projections.

The "Line-up" (predicted):

Dave Roberts - 402 AB, 268 / 342 / 366, 3 HR
Randy Winn - 539 AB, 287 / 342 / 430, 12 HR
Aaron Rowand - 534 AB, 280 / 328 / 443, 16 HR
Bengie Molina - 441 AB, 276 / 309 / 427, 16 HR
Ray Durham - 417 AB, 256 / 334 / 404, 12 HR
Rich Aurilia - 341 AB, 269 / 324 / 417, 10 HR
Jose Castillo - 339 AB, 253 / 297/ 377, 7 HR
Omar Vizquel - 462 AB, 252 / 316 / 318, 3 HR
Pitcher - 500 AB, 100 / 120 / 150, 1 HR (I estimated, but that looks about right)

Bench:
Rajai Davis - 305 AB, 269 / 334 / 356, 2 HR
Justin Leone - 248 AB, 228 / 313 / 363, 7 HR
Nate Schierholtz - 344 AB, 280 / 315 / 435, 9 HR
Dan Ortmier - 348 AB, 256 / 304 / 408, 10 HR
Fred Lewis - 252 AB, 267 / 348 / 398, 5 HR

I know this isn't a good position break-down for the bench, but these are the only guys that had projections for the Giants. Replace Justin Leone's name with that of the back-up catcher and the stats should be pretty similar

This total offense is expected to produce a line of 252 / 307 / 375 with 113 HR. The Runs Created estimation is 617, or 3.8 runs per game. I guess that's not historic, as the 2004 Arizona team scored 615 (and lost 111 games). Still, it is very bad. Even with the poorer pitching, I find it hard to believe that the O's will have a worse record. They are going to score about 150-175 more runs than the Giants. Even if San Fransisco repeats its 4.19 ERA from last year, the O's would have to not improve at all from their 5.17 line. [In that case, the Giant's should go 69 - 93 and the O's should go 70 - 92]. If the offense doesn’t see any individual collapses and the pitchers do what they are capable of then the Giants would still only win 70-75 games. The O’s though, would win 75-80. They can’t be the worst team in baseball